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Gold Prices Cross Historic Threshold, Testing Sentiment and Spending in Indian Households

By Gurminder Mangat , 25 April 2025
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Gold prices in India have surged to an all-time high, momentarily breaching the Rs. 1 lakh mark per 10 grams, sparking both economic unease and emotional distress across a broad swathe of Indian society. Traditionally viewed as both a cultural staple and a financial safe haven, gold’s sharp rise—triggered by global macroeconomic dynamics—has disrupted seasonal buying patterns during Akshaya Tritiya and the ongoing wedding season. With prices up nearly 29% since December 2024, small jewellers face declining footfall while middle-class consumers are adjusting their expectations. Meanwhile, gold continues to outperform traditional financial assets, reinforcing its role as a crisis-era hedge.

Gold Prices Soar to Unprecedented Levels

In a development that has gripped the Indian economic narrative, gold of 99.9% purity recently touched a historic peak of Rs. 1,01,600 per 10 grams in the national capital, according to the All India Sarafa Association. While prices have since slightly receded to Rs. 99,400 amid expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut and de-escalation in China-U.S. tariff tensions, the psychological impact of the milestone remains significant.

This spike in price, which reflects an increase of approximately Rs. 22,650—or 29%—since December 2024, underscores a growing trend among investors turning to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency depreciation, and global instability. Yet the impact has been far more personal and immediate for Indian families preparing for weddings or religious celebrations—occasions where the purchase of gold is not just traditional, but almost obligatory.

A Cultural and Emotional Commodity

Unlike in many other economies, gold in India transcends monetary value. It is embedded in social customs, religious rites, and familial legacies. Festivals like Akshaya Tritiya, Diwali, and wedding seasons see a spike in gold demand, with households traditionally saving all year to make such purchases.

The emotional dimension of this surge is deeply felt. Middle-class consumers like Rupa from Noida, whose daughter is set to marry later this year, are grappling with recalibrated expectations. “How will I buy gold for the wedding now?” she asks, echoing the sentiment of countless families.

Others, like Sushila Devi of East Delhi, have adapted by scaling down—purchasing five grams instead of ten—but not abandoning the tradition altogether. The ritual remains intact, even if the quantity must adjust to the financial burden.

Small Traders Struggle as Sentiment Shifts

While gold's soaring value may attract investors and institutional buyers, it has delivered a significant blow to small-scale jewellers and bullion traders. In areas like Mayur Vihar, Delhi, shopkeepers are reporting declining sales and a shift in customer behavior.

“People used to walk in and ask about designs. Now they ask the price and leave,” said Sonu Soni, a veteran jeweller. “The footfall hasn’t dropped, but the conversions have. There’s uncertainty in their eyes.”

This sentiment is mirrored across the retail gold sector, where rising prices are beginning to outweigh emotional and cultural motivations. Despite the dip in transactions, some shopkeepers remain cautiously optimistic. “Women will always buy gold,” said Karan Soni of Radheshyam Jewelers. “Even if it’s a gram or two, it still holds emotional and financial value.”

Gold as a Financial Hedge and Store of Wealth

The demand for gold remains fundamentally strong, largely due to its dual identity: part ornament, part investment. In volatile economic climates, gold has historically served as a safe haven. In 2025, this narrative is playing out again, with bullion outperforming equities and fixed-income instruments.

According to the World Gold Council, Indian households collectively own approximately 24,000 tons of gold, equivalent to about 11% of global gold reserves in jewellery form. This figure not only demonstrates India's cultural affinity for gold but also underscores its role in informal financial security for millions—particularly women and elderly dependents.

Pune resident Archana Deshmukh recalls how her late husband’s habit of buying small quantities of gold every year now provides her both emotional solace and tangible financial security. “That jewellery is my honour—and my support,” she says.

Looking Ahead: Will Demand Sustain?

Despite its rising cost, the emotional and symbolic importance of gold in Indian society suggests that demand, though temporarily slowed, may not vanish. Instead, consumers may downsize their purchases, opt for lower karatage, or delay acquisition—yet abstention remains unlikely.

From a macroeconomic perspective, the trajectory of gold prices will depend heavily on global interest rates, geopolitical developments, and the U.S. dollar’s performance. Domestically, factors such as inflation, import duties, and rupee volatility will also play a role in determining the metal’s accessibility for everyday buyers.

For now, gold remains both a luxury and a lifeline—its glitter undimmed, even as its price forces a national reckoning.

Conclusion


India’s enduring relationship with gold is being tested by historic price levels, forcing consumers, investors, and jewellers to adapt in real time. While the economic impact is undeniable, the cultural and emotional bond with gold ensures that its relevance remains intact. In a landscape marked by uncertainty, gold stands as a symbol of both resilience and restraint—a precious metal whose value is etched not only in rupees but in tradition, memory, and meaning.

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